目 录
contents
会议日程表
Conference Agenda———————————————————————— 1
开幕式议程
The Opening Ceremony ———————————————————————4
全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
2021 International Conference on Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives of World Development ———————————————5
2021全球化进程国际学术会学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum ——————————6
西财学子会济学家面面题会
Students & Economists FacetoFace Communication————————— 10
闭幕式
Agenda for the Closing Ceremony—————————————————— 12
2021全球化进程国际学术会分组讨安排
Formal Conference Program———————————————————— 13
会务指南
Conference Guide———————————————————————— 30
附录：图
Map——————————————————————————————— 34
附录二：参观路线介绍
A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction—————————— 37
2021全球化进程国际学术会〞
暨全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and
Perspectives of World Development
October 13–15 2021
会议日程表
Conference Agenda
时 间
Time
容
Event
点
Place
10月12日
Fri Oct 12
全天
All Day
参会代表报注册
Delegates Arrival and Registration
温江金强华亨酒店
Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel Wenjiang
10月13日
Sat Oct 13
900—930
开幕式〔详见开幕式议程〕
Opening Ceremony
腾骧楼137会议厅
137Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
930—1000
合影茶歇
Group Photograph & Coffee Break
腾骧楼前
In front of Tengxiang Building
1000—1215
全球化战略中国新思维
顶峰坛
Perspectives of world development Summit
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1230—1330
助午餐
Lunch
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1400—1540
分会场讨〔I〕半场
〔详见分会场议程〕
Formal Conference〔I〕first half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building liulin campus
1540—1600
茶歇
Coffee Break
通博楼
Tongbo Building
1600—1740
分会场讨〔I〕半场
Formal Conference〔I〕second half
通博楼
Tongbo Building
1800—1900
学校欢送晚宴
Welcome Dinner by SWUFE
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1930—2100
文艺汇演
Theatrical Performances
学生活动中心800厅
Student Activity Center
10月14日
Sun Oct 14
900—1030
分会场讨〔II〕半场
Formal Conference〔II〕first half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1030—1050
茶歇
Coffee Break
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1050—1200
分会场讨〔II〕半场
Formal Conference〔II〕second half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1215—1315
助午餐
Lunch
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1330—1540
学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1400—1540
西财学子会济学家
面面题会
SWUFE Students & Participated Economists
FacetoFace Communication
柳林校区图书馆
国际会议厅
International Conference Hall
1600—1645
会闭幕式
〔详见闭幕式议程〕
Closing Ceremony
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1700—1750
参观校史馆
Visiting the History Museum
柳林校区校史馆
History Museum liulin Campus
1830—2000
晚宴
Welcome Dinner by School of Economics
蜀九香火锅
Shujiuxiang hot pot
10月15日
Mon Oct 15
830—1730
参观考察
A short visit
江堰——映秀
熊猫基——宽窄巷子
Dujiangyan—Yingxiu
Or Panda BaseKuan Alley and Zhai Alley
17：30
品尝四川特色吃
A Bite of Sichuan
杜甫草堂旁
龙抄手酒楼
Long chaoshou
开幕式议程
The Opening Ceremony
时 间：2021年10月13日900930
Time 900930 Oct 13 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus of SWUFE
持：丁重西南财学副校长
Presider Renzhong DingVice President of SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1 Local government officials from the Sichuan Province
四川省政府领导讲话
2 Akaev Askar Professor Former President of the Kyrgyz Republic
吉尔吉斯坦国前总统阿卡耶夫讲话
3 Zhang Zongyi President of SWUFE
西南财学校长张宗益讲话
4 Ilya Ilin Professor Dean of the Faculty of Global Studies Lomonosov Moscow State University and President of International Association of Global Studies (in representative of academician Victor Sadovnichij Rector of the Lomonosov Moscow State University)
莫斯科学全球化进程学院院长伊里讲话
5 Zimin Sergey Secretariat of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Head of Project Lomonosov Moscow State University
海合作组织〞秘书Zimin Sergey讲话
6 Örn B Bodvarsson Vice President of the Chinese Economists Society
中国留美济学会副会长Örn B Bodvarsson讲话
会题坛议程〔〕
全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives
of World Development
Perspectives of world development Summit
时 间：2021年10月13日10001215
Time 10001215 Oct 13 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
持：刘方健西南财学济学院执行院长
Presider Fangjian Liu Excecutive Dean of School of Econcmics SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1000—1215：Keynote speech (3 time slots 40 minutes each)
1 Keith E Maskus：Professor of Economics Associate Dean for Social Sciences University of Colorado at Boulder
美国科罗拉学教授文理学院副院长中国留美济学协会理事美国国家科学院国际技术标准专利政策席联合国环境工程〔绿色技术创造知识产权〕负责
Title Global Economics of Intellectual Property in the 21st Century
2 Li Gan Professor of Economics Dean of School of economics Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
西南财学济学院院长 甘犁
发言题目：中国家庭金融中心CHFS调查相关调查研究成果精介绍
Title Research essentials of China Household Finance Survey
3 Akaev Askar：Academician ProfessorFormer President of the Kyrgyz Republic Russian Academy of Sciences Lomonosov Moscow State University (with translation by Bermet Akaeva Associate Professor Lomonosov Moscow State University)
吉尔吉斯前总统 阿卡耶夫
Title： Management of Income Inequality as a Key for Postcrisis Economic Growth (In Russian with translation into English)
会题坛议程〔二〕
2021全球化进程国际学术会学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum
October 14 2021
1330—1540
137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building
Liu Lin Campus of SWUFE
时 间：2021年10月14日13301540
Time 13301540 Oct 14 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
持：杰克
Presider Jack W Hou
Presenters are listed in alphabetic order of their last names
Session I Academic Associations Summit Forum
Invited academic associations
(7 presenters 5 minutes each 35 minutes in total)
This session will cover topics including the associations’ scopes activities as well as how to become a member of the associations etc…
Örn B Bodvarsson (Past President) Western Social Science Association (WSSA)
Tony Fang (President) The Chinese Economist Society (CES)
Jack W Hou (Program Coordinator) Western Economic Association International (WEAI)
Wuyang Hu (Chair) Agricultural and Applied Economics Association＇s (AAEA) China Section
Ilin Ilya (President) International Association of Global Studies
Ali M Kutan (Senior Member and Editor of EMFT Sponsored by SSEM) Society for the Study of Emerging Markets (SSEM)
(Senior Member Executive Committee) the Association for Comparative Economics (ACES)
Keith Maskus (Past President) International Economics and Finance Society (IEFS)
Session II Academic Journals Summit Forum
Invited academic journals
(14 presenters 7 minutes each 98 minutes in total)
This session will cover topics including the introduction of the journals the scope of the journals the submission strategy of the journals the average decision making time and putinprint time of the journals etc…
Korotayev Andrey (Coeditor) Social Evolution & History Journal of Globalization Studies YearbooksKondratieff Waves〞 and Evolution〞
Örn B Bodvarsson (Past Associate Editor) The Social Science Journal
Toby Chai (Editor) Springer Business Economics China
Tony Fang (Guest Editor) China Economic Review
Jack W Hou (former creditor) Economic Inquiry Contemporary Economic Policy
Wuyang Hu (coeditor) Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics
(consulting editor) International Food and Agribusiness Management Review
Kefeli Igor (EditorinChief) Geopolitics and Security
Ilin Ilya (EditorinChief) Globalistics and Geopolitics
Ali M Kutan (Managing Editor) Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
(CoEditor) Economic Systems
Grinin Leonid (Coeditor) Journal of Globalization Studies Social Evolution & History YearbooksKondratieff Waves〞 and Evolution〞
(Editor in Chief) Age of Globalization〞 Historical Psychology and Sociology of History〞 Phylosophy and Society〞 History and Modernity〞
Ping Li (Director of the Academic Journal Department of SWUFE) Economists (in Chinese)
(Editor in Chief) Finance & Economics (in Chinese)
Rengui Li (Professor of Editorship) Economic Perspectives (Monthly) (in Chinese)
Keith Maskus (editorial board) Review of International Economics Review of Development Economics
(Frequent reviewer and author) Journal of International Economics and Journal of Development Economics
Thompson William R (EditorinChiefManaging Editor) International Studies Quarterly
(Consulting Editor) Johns Hopkins Studies in Globalization
(Editor) Evolutionary Processes in World Politics Series
会题坛议程〔三〕
西财学子会济学家面面题会
济全球化——挑战前景中国
SWUFE Students & Participated Economists
FacetoFace Communication
时 间：2021年10月14日14001545
Time 14001545 Oct 14 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区国际会议厅
Place International Conference Hall
持Presider：洪真〔Yizhen Hong〕
参会嘉宾 Guests：Viktor Grechyn Jie Chen Henrique Schneider Yan Zhang Kefei LiYing FanDouglas DowningHengzhong XiaoYuanyuan LiuKe XuIHui ChengGeri Mason
议 程(Agenda) 西财学子专家现场交流
Students of SWUFE exchange ideas with experts onsite
话题topics：
1 济全球化进程中世界济格局——走势挑战风险
The pattern of world economy in global dynamics——trends challenges and risks
2 济全球化进程中贸易化贸易保护
Trade liberalization and trade protection in global dynamics
3 济全球化进程中国际金融危机〔包括权债务危机〕
Economic crises and globalization (including sovereign debt crisis)
4．济全球化进程中国际货币体系改革——途径前景
The approach and perspective of the international monetary system reform in global dynamics
4 全球化进程中南北济关系
Globalization and the relationship between the developing countries and developed countries
5 全球化进程中气候口环境资源持续开展
Globalization and the climate environment as well as the sustainability
6 全球化进程中社会文明伦理道德
Globalization and social civilization ethics and morality
7 全球化进程中反全球化运动——缘应
Globalization and antiglobalization movement –reasons and responses
闭幕式
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives
of World Development
Agenda for the Closing Ceremony
时 间：2021年10月14日16401645
Oct 14 2021 1600—1645
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liu Lin Campus of SWUFE
持：甘犁西南财学济学院特聘院长
Presider Li Gan Dean of School of Econcmics SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1 Renzhong Ding Professor Vice President of SWUFE
西南财学副校长丁重讲话
2 Ling Jiang Professor Vice Dean of the School of Economics SWUFE
西南财学济学院副院长姜凌讲话
3 IlyaIlin Professor Dean of the Faculty of Global Studies Lomonosov Moscow State University and President of International Association of Global Studies
莫斯科学全球化进程学院伊里院长讲话
4 Tony Fang President of the Chinese Economists Society
留美济学会席Tony Fang讲话
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives of World Development
Conference Program
2021全球化进程国际学术会分组讨安排
October 13–15 2021
Chengdu China
Note Session 19 will be held on the afternoon of Oct 13
Session 1017 will be held on the morning of Oct 14
Session 1 Trends and Economic Cycles (I)
分组讨1：济周期趋势 (I)
Session Chair Pantin Vladimir
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D201
The Prospects for Global Development in the First Half of the 21st Century the Wave Conception
Pantin Vladimir
21世纪半页全球开展前景：波设想
Pantin Vladimir
How the KWave Reinforces Global Stratification
William Thompson
K波加强全球分层
William Thompson
Kwaves and the Future of the Space Race
Devezas Tessaleno
K波未太空竞赛
Devezas Tessaleno
The Logic of Kondratieff Waves Dynamics
Grinin Leonid
K波动态逻辑
Grinin Leonid
Education in SCO Soft Power〞 against Terrorism and Extremism
Zimin Sergey
合组织教训：软实力抗恐怖义极端义
Zimin Sergey
——————————————————————————————————
Session 2 Regional Economic Growth and Development
分组讨2：区域济增长开展
Session Chair Örn B Bodvarsson
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D202
Heterogeneity Effect Competition of Producer Services to Regional Economic Growth
Ling Yang Feng Yao
生产效劳业区济增长异质性效应竞争拟研究
杨玲 姚峰
Regional Development Industrial Structure Change and Employment in Medium and Small Cities of China
Liu Yunhua
中国中城市区域开展产业结构变化业
Liu Yunhua
Effects of Financial and Fiscal Support on Rural Western ChinaEvidence from SichuanChongqing economic circle
Yan Xing
金融财政支持中国西部农村作川渝济圈例
Yan Xing
Empirical Study of Local Government Deficit Land Finance and Real Estate Market in China
Jiunnan Pan
中国方政府赤字土财政房产实证研究
Jiunnan Pan
An Empirical Study on the Evolution of Division Level and the Regional Economic Growth
Mikun Zhou
分工水演进区济增长实证研究
邹坤秘
The Impact of the Institution of Residence Registration on the Income Difference
Haolong Guo
户籍制度收入差距影响机制分析
郭浩龙
——————————————————————————————————
Session 3 Globalization and Economic Integration
分组讨3：全球化济体化
Session Chair Keith E Maskus
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D203
Studies on the Effects of Central Asia Regional Integration
Weiran Wang
中亚区域体化影响研究
Weiran Wang
Can Economic Integration Really Promote Economy Based on the Analysis of Economic Integration Policy in Euro zone
Yue He
济体化真正促进济？基欧元区济体化政策分析
悦
Challenges for the International Legal Integration in the Conditions of the Modern Financial Crisis
Streltsov Eduard
现代金融危机条件国际法律体化挑战
Streltsov Eduard
The Economic Similarity Regional Economic Agreement and Bilateral Trade Flows
IHui Cheng
济相似性区域济协定双边贸易流动
郑义辉
International migration and Development in Eurasia
Ilin Ilya Aleshkovskiy Ivan
国际迁徙欧亚开展
Ilin Ilya Aleshkovskiy Ivan
——————————————————————————————————
Session 4 Economic and Financial Crises (I)
分组讨4：济金融危机 (I)
Session Chair Bermet Akaeva
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D204
Early Warning for Predicting Financial Crisis in Emerging Economies
Yong Li
新兴济体金融危机预测预警
Yong Li
Monetary Policy International Reserve Management and Currency Crises The Case of Asian Emerging Economies
Unurjargal Nyambuu Willi Semmler
货币政策国际储藏理货币危机：亚洲新兴济体例
Unurjargal Nyambuu Willi Semmler
Urban Economic Resilience Comparative Study of South Africa’s Local Municipalities’ Resilience after the 2021 Global Financial Crisis
Kenneth K Cheruiyot
城市济复苏：2021全球金融危机南非复苏拟研究
Kenneth K Cheruiyot
Financial Deepening and the Wenzhou Credit Crisis How Deep Is Too Deep
Geri Mason
金融深化温州信贷危机：深太深？
Geri Mason
Would Financial Crisis Break Out in the Coming Few Month in China
Yi Hu
中国未月会爆发济危机？
Yi Hu
The Red Hat the Shield Against Crisis Finance and Export in China
Jun Du Michail Karoglou
红帽子：抗危机盾牌？ –中国金融出口贸易
Jun Du Michail Karoglou
——————————————————————————————————
Session 5 Globalization and Product Price Fluctuation
分组讨5：全球化产品价格波动
Session Chair Jack W Hou
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D207
The Empirical Research of the Impact of Changes in International Crude Oil Price on the Fluctuations in the Prices of Agricultural Products in China Based on the VAR model
Ren Jie Kong Rong
基VAR模型国际原油价格变化中国农产品价格波动影响实证研究
Ren Jie Kong Rong
World Development and the Problems of WTO
Obolenskiy Vladimir
世界开展WTO问题
Obolenskiy Vladimir
Gender Wage Discrimination and International Trade：Evidence in China
Jianjia Guo
性工资差异国际贸易：中国证
郭蒹葭
The Chinese Impact on GDP Growth and Inflation in the Industrial Countries
Christian Dreger Yanqun Zhang
中国工业国家GDP增长通胀影响
Christian Dreger Yanqun Zhang
Globalisation and Inflation Dynamics in New Emerging Markets
Chengsi Zhang
新兴市场全球化通胀动态
Chengsi Zhang
Commodity Trade Impacts on Four Emerging Economies’ Inflation
Wei Chen Holly H Wang
商品贸易四新兴济体通胀影响
Wei Chen Holly H Wang
The Contribution of the International Trade between China and Japan on the Economic Growth of China An Empirical Analysis of 19782021
Conggang Ran
中日贸易国济增长奉献率影响——基1978—2021年实证分析
冉刚
——————————————————————————————————
Session 6 Technological Innovation Industrial Clustering and Economic Growth
分组讨6：技术创新产业聚集济增长
Session Chair Korotayev Andrey
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D208
Kondratieff Waves in the World Technological Innovation Dynamics
Korotayev Andrey
全球技术创新动态中K波
Korotayev Andrey
Technological Innovation Organizational Innovation and Skilled Labor Demand at the firm level Comparative study of four European countries
Guangjie Ning
企业层面技术创新组织创新熟练劳动力需求：四欧洲国家拟研究
宁光杰
The Locational Behavior of the Telecommunications Manufacturing Industry in USA
Zekai He
美国电信制造业区位选择行研究
贺泽凯
The Trends of the Formation of a Virtual Market (on the Basis of the Internet) in the Context of Globalization
Lytovchenko Irina
全球化环境〔基互联网〕虚拟市场形成趋势
Lytovchenko Irina
The Cycles of Production Revolutions and Technologies of the Future
Grinin Anton
生产周期革命未技术
Grinin Anton
The Technology Spillover of FDI and China’s Economic Growth
Chen Cheng
FDI技术溢出中国济增长——基省际面板数分析
成晨
——————————————————————————————————
Session 7 Globalization and Economic History
分组讨7：全球化济史
Session Chair Lin Cheng
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D209
Globalization and the Crisis of Limited Liability〔in Chinese〕
Yuru Wang
全球化限责危机〔中文〕
王玉茹
Rural Credit Cooperative in 1930th〔in Chinese〕
Fang Wang
30年代农村信合作〔中文〕
王昉
The Summary Discovery and Application of OriginDestination Data in Economic History
Zhe Wang
济史中源汇数开掘综述应
王哲
Government Debt and Financial Development of Modern China〔in Chinese〕
Hongzhogn Yan
代中国政府债务金融开展〔中文〕
燕红忠
Historical Status of Chinese Traditional Economic Thought and Its Modern Significance〔in Chinese〕
Lin Cheng
中国传统济思想历史位现代意义(中文)
程霖
The Two Globalization〔in Chinese〕
LI ZHANG
两次世界济全球化〔中文〕
张丽
Where Does Small Scale Peasant Economy to Go Study on the Cities and Towns in Hebei Province〔in Chinese〕
Wei Zhang
农济处？基河北省市镇研究〔中文〕
张玮
——————————————————————————————————
Session 8 Globalization and the Political Economics
分组讨8：全球化政治济学
Session Chair Chaoming Wang
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D210
Different Manifestations of Globalization in Russia and China After the World Economic Crisis〔in Chinese〕
Zizhong Li
世界济危机时代全球化俄罗斯中国表现〔中文〕
李子重
A Review of Globalization and Marxism〔in Chinese〕
Yan Zhang
全球化马克思义研究综述〔中文〕
张艳
Openness Market vs Regulatory Policy National Develop and Governance Transformation Under Globalization Impact of International Economy〔in Chinese〕
Hengchung Hsiao
开放市场VS制政策：国际济全球化危机国家开展治理转型〔中文〕
萧衡钟
The Price Fluctuations and Its Influences on the Population of Lowincome and the Poverty under the Background of Globalization——Based on the Empirical Data of China〔in Chinese〕
Chaoming Wang Wenlong Han
金融危机背景价格波动低收入贫困口影响——基中国数验研究〔中文〕
王明 韩文龙
China’s Lowcarbon Economic Development under Energy and Environment Constraint〔in Chinese〕
Genjin Sun Biao Li
源环境约束中国低碳济开展〔中文〕
孙根紧 李标
Globalization and the World Economic Cycle〔in Chinese〕
Chongyi Liu
全球化进程世界济周期〔中文〕
刘崇仪
——————————————————————————————————
Session 9 SWUFE Graduate Students’ Session
分组讨9：西南财学研究生专场
Session Chair Shi Chen Xiaoling Chen
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D211
Trusting Others Makes Own Happiness China’s Microdata Analysis Based on WVS (in Chinese)
Bo Xia
信幸福：基WVS中国微观数〔中文〕
夏波
Analysis of Delaying Migrant Workers＇ Wages in the Construction Area A Game Theory Perspective (in Chinese)
Yu’e Tang
建筑行业拖欠农民工工资行分析 —基微观济学博弈视角〔中文〕
唐玉娥
The Factors of Affecting Women Taking Care of the Preschool Children at Home (in Chinese)
Wang Xiang
女性家护学龄前童素分析〔中文〕
The Elderly Support Issues in Emptynest Families in China (in Chinese)
Xueying Feng
空巢〞趋势中国家庭养老模式研究〔中文〕
冯雪莹
The Synthesized Evaluation of the Index System for Assessing Social Harmony in Sichuan 20052021 (in Chinese)
Wenhua Li
四川省谐社会指标体系综合评价研究——基四川省20052021数实证研究〔中文〕
李文华
An Institutional Analysis of the Regional Distribution Imbalance of the FDI in China A Panel Analysis of 19992021
Yong Yang
制度环境角度解析国外商直接投资区域分布失衡——基1999—2021年面板数实证分析
羊勇
——————————————————————————————————
Session 10 Globalization and International Trade
分组讨10：全球化国际贸易
Session Chair Devezas Tessaleno Aleshkovskiy Ivan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D201
Prospect of Iran Natural Gas Export Projects
Hedayat Omidvar
伊朗天然气出口工程前景
Hedayat Omidvar
ITC Antidumping Case Rulings Is China being Unfairly Targeted
Jack W Hou Xiaosong Wang
贸易中心反倾销案裁决：中国否公目标？
Jack W Hou Xiaosong Wang
The Impact of FDI Retained Profit on China＇s Economic Growth Empirical data with time series 19852007 in China
Li Xiong and Ke Xu
FDI留存利润中国济增长影响：中国19852007时间序列实证数研究
Li Xiong and Ke Xu
The Evolution of Globalization TPP and Implications for China
Shumei CHEN
全球化演变TPP中国影响
陈淑梅
Can the Development of LowCarbon Economy promote Employment An empirical study on the 19982021 provincial panel data
Yu Li
低碳济开展促进业？19982021省级面板数实证研究
Yu Li
——————————————————————————————————
Session 11 Globalization and the Transboundary Factor Markets
分组讨11：全球化跨国素市场
Session Chair Tony Fang
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D202
FDI Spillovers and the Time since Foreign Entry
Bruno Merlevede Koen Schoors Mariana Spatareanu
外资进入外国直接投资溢出效应
Bruno Merlevede Koen Schoors Mariana Spatareanu
Human Capital Investment Endowment and Social Mobility in China 19892021
Xuechao Qian
中国力资投资劳动资源禀赋社会流动 19892021
Xuechao Qian
Aging and Migration in a Transition Economy the Case of China
Örn B Bodvarsson Jack W Hou
转型济中老龄化迁移：中国案例
Örn B Bodvarsson Jack W Hou
Why Apple Products are Made in China The Great Transformation of the Global Labor Market and the Human Resource Implications
Tony Fang
什苹果产品中国制造？全球劳动力市场转型力资源方面影响
Tony Fang
Trade Openness Labor Demand Elasticity and Firm Heterogeneity An Empirical Study on China’s Micro Firms
Juan Li
贸易开放劳动需求弹性公司异质性：中国微型企业实证研究
李娟
——————————————————————————————————
Session 12 Economic Development and Environmental Protection
分组讨12：济增长环境保护
Session Chair Thompson William R
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D203
Willingness to Pay for Personal Carbon Trading〔in Chinese〕
Kui Zhou
居民参碳交易支付意愿影响素研究〔中文〕
周葵
Foreign Direct Investment and Environmental Pollution
Jiangying Sun
外国直接投资环境污染
Jiangying Sun
An Empirical Analysis of Environmental Cost in China’s Rapid Economic Growth
Hongfei Li
中国济快速增长环境钱实证分析
Hongfei Li
Air Quality and the Economic Growth Evidence from China
Lu Liu Kefei Li
空气质量济增长：中国证
Lu Liu Kefei Li
Environmental Quality and the Economic Growth
Qian Xiong
环境质量济增长
熊倩
——————————————————————————————————
Session 13 Economic and Financial crises (II)
分组讨13：济金融危机 (II)
Session Chair Ali M Kutan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D204
Russian Rouble EurAsEs and OCA criteria
Viktor Grechyn
俄罗斯卢布关税盟优货币区标准
Viktor Grechyn
Employment Capital Stock and Capacity Utilization in a Recovery
Jie Chen
业资存量恢复中产利率
Jie Chen
Projecting of Steady Complexity Economic Systems on Selforganizing Principles as a Component of Anticrisis Strategy
YegorovaGudkova Tatyana
组织原稳定复杂济系统工程作反济危机策略组成局部
YegorovaGudkova Tatyana
Crisis Transfer in the Global Economic Environment
Suchorukov Arkady
全球济环境济危机转移
Suchorukov Arkady
International Monetary Fund Private Financial Markets and the Asian Crisis
Ali M Kutan
国际货币基金组织私金融市场亚洲金融危机
Ali M Kutan
——————————————————————————————————
Session 14 Globalization Education and Culture
分组讨14：全球化教育文化
Session Chair Grinin Leonid
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D207
Recovering from Kondratieff Winter Science and Higher Education Policies as a Leading Factor of Success
Anna Bukhtoyarova and Mikhail Bukhtoyarov
孔德拉季耶夫冬天复苏：科学更高教育政策作成功素
Anna Bukhtoyarova and Mikhail Bukhtoyarov
Global Educational Opportunities in the Emerging Information Society
Mikhail Bukhtoyarov and Anna Bukhtoyarova
新兴信息社会中全球教育时机
Mikhail Bukhtoyarov and Anna Bukhtoyarova
Linguistic Identity and Globalisation
Kornienko Olga
语言标识全球化
Kornienko Olga
The New Order in International Culture〔in Chinese〕
Yan Zhang
国际文化新秩序〔中文〕
张艳
An Empirical Analysis on the Influence of the Political Capital on Households’ Income
Long Yang
政治资家庭收入影响实证分析
羊龙
——————————————————————————————————
Session 15 Trends and Economic cycles (II)
分组讨15：济周期趋势 (II)
Session Chair Wuyang Hu
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D208
Explaining Business Cycles News Versus Data Revisions
Paul Levine Joseph Pearlman Bo Yang
商业周期解释：新闻数修正
Paul Levine Joseph Pearlman Bo Yang
Economic Cycles and Market Anomalies in Pork Prices Considering Roles of Chinese Consumer Preference
Wuyang Hu
考虑中国消费者偏作猪肉价格济周期市场异常
胡武阳
A MultiMarket Approach to Measuring the Cycles
Xing (Grace) Gao
基市场方法周期测量
Xing (Grace) Gao
The Main Trends of the Global Dynamics and the Future of World Development
Bondarenko Valentina
全球化动态趋势世界开展未
Bondarenko Valentina
State Capitalism and Globalization – a Challenge to Whom
Henrique Schneider
国家资义全球化 ——谁挑战？
Henrique Schneider
Convergence of National Interests in International Alliances the Methodology of Analysis (for example the BRICS SCO and the Eurasian Union)
Kefeli Igor
国际联盟中国家利益趋分析方法〔金砖海合作组织欧亚联盟例〕
Kefeli Igor
——————————————————————————————————
Session 16 Major Trends of Financial Development
分组讨16：金融开展趋势
Session Chair Zimin Sergey
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D209
Contagion in CDS Banking and Equity Markets
Benjamin Tabak Mauricio Medeiros Junior Rodrigo de Castro Miranda
CDS蔓延银行股票市场
Benjamin Tabak Mauricio Medeiros Junior Rodrigo de Castro Miranda
The Excess Reserve Surge and the Lending Slowdown at US Banks
Douglas Downing
美国银行超额储藏激增放贷放缓
Douglas Downing
Microfinance in Rural Chinese Financial Markets Challenges and Innovations
Geri Mason
额信贷中国农村金融市场：挑战创新
Geri Mason
Monetary Policy International Reserve Management and Currency CrisesThe Case of Asian Emerging Economies
Unurjargal Nyambuu
货币政策国际储藏理货币危机：亚洲新兴济体情况
Unurjargal Nyambuu
Research on China and US Economic imbalances from the Financial Perspective
Aiping Yao
基金融视角中美济失衡研究
姚爱萍
The Impact of the Financial Constraint on the TFP of the Chinese Firms a Semi Parametric Analysis Based on LP (in Chinese)
Yongyuan Sun
金融约束中国企业TFP影响分析——基lp半参数分析 (中文)
孙永苑
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Session 17 China’ the International Trade
分组讨17：中国国际贸易
Session Chair Yi Quan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D210
The Trend of International Economic Environment Evolution and the Adjustment of China’s Foreign Trade Strategy (in Chinese)
Yi Quan
国际济环境演变趋势国外贸战略调整〔中文〕
全毅
The Effect of Trade Agreements on China’ Export Growth and Binary Margin (in Chinese)
Juan Wen Jianxiu Li
贸易协定国出口增长二元边际效应〔中文〕
文娟李建修
Double Game and Behavior Analysis of China US Trade Friction (in Chinese)
Li Minggang
中美贸易摩擦双层博弈体行分析〔中文〕
李明刚
A Study of China’s Participation in FTAs in the Process of Globalization (in Chinese)
Yuhua Song Haiyan Zhang
全球化进程中中国参FTA研究〔中文〕
宋玉华 张海燕
The reconstruction of historical materialism and Innovation of Globalization Research Paradigm (in Chinese)
Yuan Han
唯物史观重建全球化研究范式创新〔中文〕
韩源
An Empirical Study on the Financial Development and Upgrading of Industrial Structure in the Chengdu Region (in Chinese)
Long Zhou
成区金融开展产业结构升级实证研究〔中文〕
周龙
——————————————————————————————————
工作室 workroom
通博楼 D206
Place Tongbo Building Room D206
会务指南
Conference Guide
会务 Meeting Affairs
〔1〕温江鱼凫温泉酒店 Yufu Hotspring Hotel
驻会工作员 Contact ：
〔2〕温江金强华亨酒店 Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel Wenjiang
会务组房间：22032205
Meeting Affairs Group Room：22032205
驻会工作员 Contact ：
余修婷Xiuting Yu
二 餐(Dining)
会议期间餐时间点安排：
During the conference the dining time and places are as follows
日期
餐时间(Time)
点(Places)
10月13日
Oct 13
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
1230—1330
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
晚宴Dinner
1800—1900
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
10月14日
Oct 14
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
1215—1315
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
晚宴Dinner
1830—2000
蜀九香火锅
Shujiuxiang hot pot
10月15日
Oct 15
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
定undecided
点定
undecided
晚餐Dinner
1730
龙抄手
Long chaoshou
三 参观活动(Visit)
110月14日1700—1745会务组组织会代表参观西南财学校史馆
At 1700—1745 Oct 14 the meeting affairs group will take delegates to visit the History Museum of SWUFE
210月15日会务组组织家进行参观考察考察线路江堰——映秀〔者熊猫基——宽窄巷子〕请意愿代表会议注册报天登记10月15日早晨830金强华亨酒店门口集合统前
On Oct 15th delegates can have a short tour from Dujiangyan to Yingxiu or from the Panda Base to Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley Anyone who are willing to go please inform us on the registration date and gather together in front of Huaheng Hotel at 830am on Oct 15
五医疗效劳(Medical Service)
学校安排会务工作员酒店驻会身体感适需帮助请直接会务组联系
We have staff organized to stay at the hotel during the conference so if you feel ill or need some help please contact us directly
六返程(Return)
请预定返程机票参会员会务组联系取票没预定返程票员请行安排需帮助请联系会务组
Participants with a return airticket please contact our staff to obtain it Participants without a return ticket please make arrangements yourselves If you need any help please contact the meeting affairs group
七温馨提示(Tips)
1请会议日程安排准时参加项活动会代表出席会议请时告知会务组联络员便会议时调整相关容
Please attend all the activities on time according to the conference agenda If you are unable to present please have the business group and coordinators informed so that we can make some adjustments timely
2会场请 铃声调静音状态请勿吸烟
Please set your mobile phone to mute and do not smoke in the conference room
3会议期间请妥善保您物品防遗失
During the conference please take good care of your personal stuff in case they are missing
4入住酒店wifi说明
温江金强华亨酒店Wifi密码12345678
Password of WIFI in Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel 12345678
5酒店退房时间中午1200前
Please pay attention that the hotel checkout time is 1200am
6时值秋季成天气变请会代表注意天气状况谨防感
It is autumn now in Chengdu and the weather is changeable Please pay attention to the weather conditions to stay away from influenza
7会议结束意赴方旅游者请联系旅行社请会务组员协助
After the conference delegates who are willing to travel to other places please contact the local travel agency by yourselves or contact Meeting Affairs Groups staff
祝您会议期间工作利心情愉快身体健康
Wish you a smooth work a happy mood and good health
图：机场西南财学光华校区柳林校区区位图
Map3From Airport to Liulin Campus and Guanghua Campus of SWUFE
图二：西南财学柳林校区图
Map2 Liulin Campus of SWUFE
图三：华亨酒店西南财学柳林校区区位图
Map3From Huaheng Hotel to Liulin Campus of SWUFE
参观考察选择线路：成市旅游
行程安排Itinerary：
首先熊猫基参观熊猫然宽窄巷子感受老成文化品尝传统四川美食龙抄手
Firstly go to the Chengdu Panda Breeding Research Base to visit the giant anda and then visit the Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley to feel the traditional culture of Chengdu After that to taste the traditional Sichuan food Long Chao Shou
景点介绍 A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction：
熊猫基Chengdu Panda Breeding Research Base
着神秘隐居生活〞熊猫家园高山密林中祖居生态环境日渐恶化成熊猫繁育研究基便辟伊甸园〞成熊猫繁育基位处成市北郊斧头山造园手法模拟熊猫野外生态环境营建适宜熊猫种珍稀野生动物生息繁衍生态环境目前成熊猫繁育基已成国开展熊猫等珍稀濒危野生动物移保护基里生活着庞熊猫家族长幼咸集乐融融享笋竹鲜果卧酣睡追逐嬉闹攀岩爬树母子相外该基饲养黑颈鹤白鹳白天鹅黑天鹅雁鸳鸯孔雀等动物68科300种高等植物构成基工生态植栖息着野生鸟类29科90种现基翠竹葱茏绿树成荫鸟语花香空气清新然山野风光优美工景观巧妙融合种珍稀濒危动物中悠然生息繁衍
The giant panda a symbol of world biodiversity conservation is loved by many people around the world It is easily recognized by its large distinctive black patches around the eyes over the ears and across its round body
Chengdu Research Base of Giant Panda Breeding is the significant domestic base in China for the protection of rare and endangered wild animalsIt has been created to imitate the panda’s natural habitat for providing the best possible environment for breeding and rearing young pandas
The Research Base covers an area of 92 acres 96 of which is verdure Rare and endangered animals here include Giant Panda Lesser Panda the Blacknecked Crane the White Stock the White Swan the Black Swan the Wild Goose and Peacock Verdant bamboo bright flowers fresh air a natural hill scene and a beautiful artificial view are merged ingeniously at the baseIt is the most ideal ecological tourism place for visitors all around world to get to know the appearance of giant pandas and to get around the wild nature
宽窄巷子Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley
成宽窄巷子位成仁路长中街间宽巷子窄巷子成遗留较成规模清古街道宽巷子窄巷子始建康熙五十七年〔公元 1718 年〕街〔宽巷子〕居住满族文武官员胡〔窄巷子〕住满族士兵等级森严汉严禁入两巷行相邻清遗留保存较完整古街道宽窄巷子宽巷子窄巷子井巷子三条行排列老式街道四合院落群组成老成千年少城〞城市格局百年原真建筑格局遗存北方胡文化建筑风格南方孤〞宽窄巷子您触摸历史痕迹体味成原滋原味休闲生活方式走进宽窄巷子走进成世界古老时尚老成名片
Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is located between lower Tongren Road and Cheung Shun Street It is a legacy left on a large scale from Qing Dynasty Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley was built in Kangxi 57 years (1718AD) Manchu civil and military officials lived in the street (Kuan Alley) Manchu soldiers lived in the small hutong (Zhai Alley) It is very hierarchical and the Hans were prohibited from entering The two lanes are parallel adjacent Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley consist of three parallel streets which are Kuan Alley Zhai Alley and Jing Alley and courtyards Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is the last legacy of Hutong culture in the south where you can feel the traces of history you can enjoy the original flavor of the casual lifestyle in Chengdu Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is the most Chengdu the most world the most ancient and fashionable business card of old Chengdu
参观考察选择线路二成周边游
行程安排Itinerary ：江堰观摩千年水利工程亲灾区映秀感受然灾害造成灾难参观灾灾区新面貌
景点介绍A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction ：
江堰Dujiangyan Irrigation System
江堰位四川省成市江堰市灌口镇秦国蜀郡太守李冰子治理岷江水患率众修建型水利工程建堰两千年久衰发挥着代作工程采坝引水〞形式鱼嘴〔分水堤〕飞沙堰〔溢洪道〕宝瓶口〔引水口〕三体工程构成三工程巧妙利天然势弯道水流规律协调运行效解决引水灌溉泄洪排沙问题孕育沃野千里号陆海天府国〞成原江堰水利工程誉世界水利文化鼻祖〞 全世界迄止年代久唯留存坝引水特征宏水利工程外江堰著名风景名胜区附景色秀丽文物古迹众伏龙观二王庙安澜索桥玉垒关离堆公园玉垒山公园玉女峰灵岩寺普寺翠月湖等工程
Dujiangyan Irrigation System is located in the west of Dujiangyan City in Sichuan Province So far it is the only inuse grand water irrigation project built in the earliest age in human history The system is characterized by water diversion without dam In ancient times the area where the irrigation system is was under the jurisdictions of Du＇an County Therefore it was named Du＇an Irrigation System and later changed to Dujiangyan Irrigation System after the Song and Yuan Dynasties The project is hailed as a marvelous wonder of all time and treasure protecting Sichuan The building of the largescale irrigation system started in the 3rd century AD under the command of local official Li Bing and his son Even today the irrigation system still serves the purpose it was designed for and functions well
This project is mainly composed of three parts Yuzui Watershed Dike Feishayan Spillway and Baopingkou Water Inlet scientifically providing solutions to automatic water diversion sand discharging and water inlet volume control etc thus keeping floods at bay and making western Sichuan plain a kingdom of heaven where human put floods under control Gorgeous scenery abounds in the surrounding areas of Dujiangyan Irrigation System and cultural relics can easily be found The main attractions include Dragon Subduing Temple Erwang Temple Alan Bridge Yulei Pass Lidui Park Yulei Mountain Park and Lingyan Temple etc
映秀Yingxiu
映秀镇处四川汶川县城南部卧龙然保护区相邻距成88公里进出九寨沟卧龙四姑娘山必重交通道藏羌回汉民族文化交汇点素西羌门户〞称映秀镇青山绿水名气映秀镇真正熟知举世瞩目5·12〞汶川特震震震源点震导致映秀山河破碎满目疮痍镇中心区夷新映秀镇原址重建许国外著名建筑师参映秀镇灾重建设计工作建筑风格川西羌寨风格现映秀镇震遗址特色羌文化风格水载体爱题世界独二风情旅游镇
Yingxiu is a town of southern Wenchuan County northwestern Sichuan province It is located at the southern end of the Ngawa Tibetan and Qiang Autonomous Prefecture and lies on the road to Jiuzhaigou Valley Wolong world natural heritage reserve and the Siguniang Mountains It is the cultural intersection of Han Hui Qiang and Tibetan and called the entrance to the Western Qiang Yingxiu was famous for its green mountains and clean water but what made it a worldknown place is the May 12th earthquake As the focal point of the earthquake Yingxiu was razed to the ground instantly causing serious damages The new Yingxiu was rebuilt in situ A lot of domestic and foreign master architects participated in the design of reconstruction which mainly is of western Sichuan and Qiang style Now the new Yingxiu is a unique tourist town worldwide which is featured by the earthquake site styled by the Qiang culture carried by
the clear water and themed by the great love
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contents
会议日程表
Conference Agenda———————————————————————— 1
开幕式议程
The Opening Ceremony ———————————————————————4
全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
2021 International Conference on Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives of World Development ———————————————5
2021全球化进程国际学术会学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum ——————————6
西财学子会济学家面面题会
Students & Economists FacetoFace Communication————————— 10
闭幕式
Agenda for the Closing Ceremony—————————————————— 12
2021全球化进程国际学术会分组讨安排
Formal Conference Program———————————————————— 13
会务指南
Conference Guide———————————————————————— 30
附录：图
Map——————————————————————————————— 34
附录二：参观路线介绍
A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction—————————— 37
2021全球化进程国际学术会〞
暨全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and
Perspectives of World Development
October 13–15 2021
会议日程表
Conference Agenda
时 间
Time
容
Event
点
Place
10月12日
Fri Oct 12
全天
All Day
参会代表报注册
Delegates Arrival and Registration
温江金强华亨酒店
Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel Wenjiang
10月13日
Sat Oct 13
900—930
开幕式〔详见开幕式议程〕
Opening Ceremony
腾骧楼137会议厅
137Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
930—1000
合影茶歇
Group Photograph & Coffee Break
腾骧楼前
In front of Tengxiang Building
1000—1215
全球化战略中国新思维
顶峰坛
Perspectives of world development Summit
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1230—1330
助午餐
Lunch
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1400—1540
分会场讨〔I〕半场
〔详见分会场议程〕
Formal Conference〔I〕first half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building liulin campus
1540—1600
茶歇
Coffee Break
通博楼
Tongbo Building
1600—1740
分会场讨〔I〕半场
Formal Conference〔I〕second half
通博楼
Tongbo Building
1800—1900
学校欢送晚宴
Welcome Dinner by SWUFE
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1930—2100
文艺汇演
Theatrical Performances
学生活动中心800厅
Student Activity Center
10月14日
Sun Oct 14
900—1030
分会场讨〔II〕半场
Formal Conference〔II〕first half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1030—1050
茶歇
Coffee Break
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1050—1200
分会场讨〔II〕半场
Formal Conference〔II〕second half
柳林校区通博楼
Tongbo Building
1215—1315
助午餐
Lunch
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
1330—1540
学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1400—1540
西财学子会济学家
面面题会
SWUFE Students & Participated Economists
FacetoFace Communication
柳林校区图书馆
国际会议厅
International Conference Hall
1600—1645
会闭幕式
〔详见闭幕式议程〕
Closing Ceremony
腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall
Tengxiang Building
1700—1750
参观校史馆
Visiting the History Museum
柳林校区校史馆
History Museum liulin Campus
1830—2000
晚宴
Welcome Dinner by School of Economics
蜀九香火锅
Shujiuxiang hot pot
10月15日
Mon Oct 15
830—1730
参观考察
A short visit
江堰——映秀
熊猫基——宽窄巷子
Dujiangyan—Yingxiu
Or Panda BaseKuan Alley and Zhai Alley
17：30
品尝四川特色吃
A Bite of Sichuan
杜甫草堂旁
龙抄手酒楼
Long chaoshou
开幕式议程
The Opening Ceremony
时 间：2021年10月13日900930
Time 900930 Oct 13 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus of SWUFE
持：丁重西南财学副校长
Presider Renzhong DingVice President of SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1 Local government officials from the Sichuan Province
四川省政府领导讲话
2 Akaev Askar Professor Former President of the Kyrgyz Republic
吉尔吉斯坦国前总统阿卡耶夫讲话
3 Zhang Zongyi President of SWUFE
西南财学校长张宗益讲话
4 Ilya Ilin Professor Dean of the Faculty of Global Studies Lomonosov Moscow State University and President of International Association of Global Studies (in representative of academician Victor Sadovnichij Rector of the Lomonosov Moscow State University)
莫斯科学全球化进程学院院长伊里讲话
5 Zimin Sergey Secretariat of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Head of Project Lomonosov Moscow State University
海合作组织〞秘书Zimin Sergey讲话
6 Örn B Bodvarsson Vice President of the Chinese Economists Society
中国留美济学会副会长Örn B Bodvarsson讲话
会题坛议程〔〕
全球化战略中国新思维顶峰坛
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives
of World Development
Perspectives of world development Summit
时 间：2021年10月13日10001215
Time 10001215 Oct 13 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
持：刘方健西南财学济学院执行院长
Presider Fangjian Liu Excecutive Dean of School of Econcmics SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1000—1215：Keynote speech (3 time slots 40 minutes each)
1 Keith E Maskus：Professor of Economics Associate Dean for Social Sciences University of Colorado at Boulder
美国科罗拉学教授文理学院副院长中国留美济学协会理事美国国家科学院国际技术标准专利政策席联合国环境工程〔绿色技术创造知识产权〕负责
Title Global Economics of Intellectual Property in the 21st Century
2 Li Gan Professor of Economics Dean of School of economics Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
西南财学济学院院长 甘犁
发言题目：中国家庭金融中心CHFS调查相关调查研究成果精介绍
Title Research essentials of China Household Finance Survey
3 Akaev Askar：Academician ProfessorFormer President of the Kyrgyz Republic Russian Academy of Sciences Lomonosov Moscow State University (with translation by Bermet Akaeva Associate Professor Lomonosov Moscow State University)
吉尔吉斯前总统 阿卡耶夫
Title： Management of Income Inequality as a Key for Postcrisis Economic Growth (In Russian with translation into English)
会题坛议程〔二〕
2021全球化进程国际学术会学术协会期刊顶峰坛
Academic Associations and Journals Summit Forum
October 14 2021
1330—1540
137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building
Liu Lin Campus of SWUFE
时 间：2021年10月14日13301540
Time 13301540 Oct 14 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
Place 137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liulin Campus
持：杰克
Presider Jack W Hou
Presenters are listed in alphabetic order of their last names
Session I Academic Associations Summit Forum
Invited academic associations
(7 presenters 5 minutes each 35 minutes in total)
This session will cover topics including the associations’ scopes activities as well as how to become a member of the associations etc…
Örn B Bodvarsson (Past President) Western Social Science Association (WSSA)
Tony Fang (President) The Chinese Economist Society (CES)
Jack W Hou (Program Coordinator) Western Economic Association International (WEAI)
Wuyang Hu (Chair) Agricultural and Applied Economics Association＇s (AAEA) China Section
Ilin Ilya (President) International Association of Global Studies
Ali M Kutan (Senior Member and Editor of EMFT Sponsored by SSEM) Society for the Study of Emerging Markets (SSEM)
(Senior Member Executive Committee) the Association for Comparative Economics (ACES)
Keith Maskus (Past President) International Economics and Finance Society (IEFS)
Session II Academic Journals Summit Forum
Invited academic journals
(14 presenters 7 minutes each 98 minutes in total)
This session will cover topics including the introduction of the journals the scope of the journals the submission strategy of the journals the average decision making time and putinprint time of the journals etc…
Korotayev Andrey (Coeditor) Social Evolution & History Journal of Globalization Studies YearbooksKondratieff Waves〞 and Evolution〞
Örn B Bodvarsson (Past Associate Editor) The Social Science Journal
Toby Chai (Editor) Springer Business Economics China
Tony Fang (Guest Editor) China Economic Review
Jack W Hou (former creditor) Economic Inquiry Contemporary Economic Policy
Wuyang Hu (coeditor) Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics
(consulting editor) International Food and Agribusiness Management Review
Kefeli Igor (EditorinChief) Geopolitics and Security
Ilin Ilya (EditorinChief) Globalistics and Geopolitics
Ali M Kutan (Managing Editor) Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
(CoEditor) Economic Systems
Grinin Leonid (Coeditor) Journal of Globalization Studies Social Evolution & History YearbooksKondratieff Waves〞 and Evolution〞
(Editor in Chief) Age of Globalization〞 Historical Psychology and Sociology of History〞 Phylosophy and Society〞 History and Modernity〞
Ping Li (Director of the Academic Journal Department of SWUFE) Economists (in Chinese)
(Editor in Chief) Finance & Economics (in Chinese)
Rengui Li (Professor of Editorship) Economic Perspectives (Monthly) (in Chinese)
Keith Maskus (editorial board) Review of International Economics Review of Development Economics
(Frequent reviewer and author) Journal of International Economics and Journal of Development Economics
Thompson William R (EditorinChiefManaging Editor) International Studies Quarterly
(Consulting Editor) Johns Hopkins Studies in Globalization
(Editor) Evolutionary Processes in World Politics Series
会题坛议程〔三〕
西财学子会济学家面面题会
济全球化——挑战前景中国
SWUFE Students & Participated Economists
FacetoFace Communication
时 间：2021年10月14日14001545
Time 14001545 Oct 14 2021
点：西南财学柳林校区国际会议厅
Place International Conference Hall
持Presider：洪真〔Yizhen Hong〕
参会嘉宾 Guests：Viktor Grechyn Jie Chen Henrique Schneider Yan Zhang Kefei LiYing FanDouglas DowningHengzhong XiaoYuanyuan LiuKe XuIHui ChengGeri Mason
议 程(Agenda) 西财学子专家现场交流
Students of SWUFE exchange ideas with experts onsite
话题topics：
1 济全球化进程中世界济格局——走势挑战风险
The pattern of world economy in global dynamics——trends challenges and risks
2 济全球化进程中贸易化贸易保护
Trade liberalization and trade protection in global dynamics
3 济全球化进程中国际金融危机〔包括权债务危机〕
Economic crises and globalization (including sovereign debt crisis)
4．济全球化进程中国际货币体系改革——途径前景
The approach and perspective of the international monetary system reform in global dynamics
4 全球化进程中南北济关系
Globalization and the relationship between the developing countries and developed countries
5 全球化进程中气候口环境资源持续开展
Globalization and the climate environment as well as the sustainability
6 全球化进程中社会文明伦理道德
Globalization and social civilization ethics and morality
7 全球化进程中反全球化运动——缘应
Globalization and antiglobalization movement –reasons and responses
闭幕式
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives
of World Development
Agenda for the Closing Ceremony
时 间：2021年10月14日16401645
Oct 14 2021 1600—1645
点：西南财学柳林校区腾骧楼137会议厅
137 Conference Hall Tengxiang Building Liu Lin Campus of SWUFE
持：甘犁西南财学济学院特聘院长
Presider Li Gan Dean of School of Econcmics SWUFE
议 程(Agenda)
1 Renzhong Ding Professor Vice President of SWUFE
西南财学副校长丁重讲话
2 Ling Jiang Professor Vice Dean of the School of Economics SWUFE
西南财学济学院副院长姜凌讲话
3 IlyaIlin Professor Dean of the Faculty of Global Studies Lomonosov Moscow State University and President of International Association of Global Studies
莫斯科学全球化进程学院伊里院长讲话
4 Tony Fang President of the Chinese Economists Society
留美济学会席Tony Fang讲话
2021 International Conference on
Trends and Cycles in Global Dynamics and Perspectives of World Development
Conference Program
2021全球化进程国际学术会分组讨安排
October 13–15 2021
Chengdu China
Note Session 19 will be held on the afternoon of Oct 13
Session 1017 will be held on the morning of Oct 14
Session 1 Trends and Economic Cycles (I)
分组讨1：济周期趋势 (I)
Session Chair Pantin Vladimir
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D201
The Prospects for Global Development in the First Half of the 21st Century the Wave Conception
Pantin Vladimir
21世纪半页全球开展前景：波设想
Pantin Vladimir
How the KWave Reinforces Global Stratification
William Thompson
K波加强全球分层
William Thompson
Kwaves and the Future of the Space Race
Devezas Tessaleno
K波未太空竞赛
Devezas Tessaleno
The Logic of Kondratieff Waves Dynamics
Grinin Leonid
K波动态逻辑
Grinin Leonid
Education in SCO Soft Power〞 against Terrorism and Extremism
Zimin Sergey
合组织教训：软实力抗恐怖义极端义
Zimin Sergey
——————————————————————————————————
Session 2 Regional Economic Growth and Development
分组讨2：区域济增长开展
Session Chair Örn B Bodvarsson
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D202
Heterogeneity Effect Competition of Producer Services to Regional Economic Growth
Ling Yang Feng Yao
生产效劳业区济增长异质性效应竞争拟研究
杨玲 姚峰
Regional Development Industrial Structure Change and Employment in Medium and Small Cities of China
Liu Yunhua
中国中城市区域开展产业结构变化业
Liu Yunhua
Effects of Financial and Fiscal Support on Rural Western ChinaEvidence from SichuanChongqing economic circle
Yan Xing
金融财政支持中国西部农村作川渝济圈例
Yan Xing
Empirical Study of Local Government Deficit Land Finance and Real Estate Market in China
Jiunnan Pan
中国方政府赤字土财政房产实证研究
Jiunnan Pan
An Empirical Study on the Evolution of Division Level and the Regional Economic Growth
Mikun Zhou
分工水演进区济增长实证研究
邹坤秘
The Impact of the Institution of Residence Registration on the Income Difference
Haolong Guo
户籍制度收入差距影响机制分析
郭浩龙
——————————————————————————————————
Session 3 Globalization and Economic Integration
分组讨3：全球化济体化
Session Chair Keith E Maskus
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D203
Studies on the Effects of Central Asia Regional Integration
Weiran Wang
中亚区域体化影响研究
Weiran Wang
Can Economic Integration Really Promote Economy Based on the Analysis of Economic Integration Policy in Euro zone
Yue He
济体化真正促进济？基欧元区济体化政策分析
悦
Challenges for the International Legal Integration in the Conditions of the Modern Financial Crisis
Streltsov Eduard
现代金融危机条件国际法律体化挑战
Streltsov Eduard
The Economic Similarity Regional Economic Agreement and Bilateral Trade Flows
IHui Cheng
济相似性区域济协定双边贸易流动
郑义辉
International migration and Development in Eurasia
Ilin Ilya Aleshkovskiy Ivan
国际迁徙欧亚开展
Ilin Ilya Aleshkovskiy Ivan
——————————————————————————————————
Session 4 Economic and Financial Crises (I)
分组讨4：济金融危机 (I)
Session Chair Bermet Akaeva
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D204
Early Warning for Predicting Financial Crisis in Emerging Economies
Yong Li
新兴济体金融危机预测预警
Yong Li
Monetary Policy International Reserve Management and Currency Crises The Case of Asian Emerging Economies
Unurjargal Nyambuu Willi Semmler
货币政策国际储藏理货币危机：亚洲新兴济体例
Unurjargal Nyambuu Willi Semmler
Urban Economic Resilience Comparative Study of South Africa’s Local Municipalities’ Resilience after the 2021 Global Financial Crisis
Kenneth K Cheruiyot
城市济复苏：2021全球金融危机南非复苏拟研究
Kenneth K Cheruiyot
Financial Deepening and the Wenzhou Credit Crisis How Deep Is Too Deep
Geri Mason
金融深化温州信贷危机：深太深？
Geri Mason
Would Financial Crisis Break Out in the Coming Few Month in China
Yi Hu
中国未月会爆发济危机？
Yi Hu
The Red Hat the Shield Against Crisis Finance and Export in China
Jun Du Michail Karoglou
红帽子：抗危机盾牌？ –中国金融出口贸易
Jun Du Michail Karoglou
——————————————————————————————————
Session 5 Globalization and Product Price Fluctuation
分组讨5：全球化产品价格波动
Session Chair Jack W Hou
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D207
The Empirical Research of the Impact of Changes in International Crude Oil Price on the Fluctuations in the Prices of Agricultural Products in China Based on the VAR model
Ren Jie Kong Rong
基VAR模型国际原油价格变化中国农产品价格波动影响实证研究
Ren Jie Kong Rong
World Development and the Problems of WTO
Obolenskiy Vladimir
世界开展WTO问题
Obolenskiy Vladimir
Gender Wage Discrimination and International Trade：Evidence in China
Jianjia Guo
性工资差异国际贸易：中国证
郭蒹葭
The Chinese Impact on GDP Growth and Inflation in the Industrial Countries
Christian Dreger Yanqun Zhang
中国工业国家GDP增长通胀影响
Christian Dreger Yanqun Zhang
Globalisation and Inflation Dynamics in New Emerging Markets
Chengsi Zhang
新兴市场全球化通胀动态
Chengsi Zhang
Commodity Trade Impacts on Four Emerging Economies’ Inflation
Wei Chen Holly H Wang
商品贸易四新兴济体通胀影响
Wei Chen Holly H Wang
The Contribution of the International Trade between China and Japan on the Economic Growth of China An Empirical Analysis of 19782021
Conggang Ran
中日贸易国济增长奉献率影响——基1978—2021年实证分析
冉刚
——————————————————————————————————
Session 6 Technological Innovation Industrial Clustering and Economic Growth
分组讨6：技术创新产业聚集济增长
Session Chair Korotayev Andrey
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D208
Kondratieff Waves in the World Technological Innovation Dynamics
Korotayev Andrey
全球技术创新动态中K波
Korotayev Andrey
Technological Innovation Organizational Innovation and Skilled Labor Demand at the firm level Comparative study of four European countries
Guangjie Ning
企业层面技术创新组织创新熟练劳动力需求：四欧洲国家拟研究
宁光杰
The Locational Behavior of the Telecommunications Manufacturing Industry in USA
Zekai He
美国电信制造业区位选择行研究
贺泽凯
The Trends of the Formation of a Virtual Market (on the Basis of the Internet) in the Context of Globalization
Lytovchenko Irina
全球化环境〔基互联网〕虚拟市场形成趋势
Lytovchenko Irina
The Cycles of Production Revolutions and Technologies of the Future
Grinin Anton
生产周期革命未技术
Grinin Anton
The Technology Spillover of FDI and China’s Economic Growth
Chen Cheng
FDI技术溢出中国济增长——基省际面板数分析
成晨
——————————————————————————————————
Session 7 Globalization and Economic History
分组讨7：全球化济史
Session Chair Lin Cheng
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D209
Globalization and the Crisis of Limited Liability〔in Chinese〕
Yuru Wang
全球化限责危机〔中文〕
王玉茹
Rural Credit Cooperative in 1930th〔in Chinese〕
Fang Wang
30年代农村信合作〔中文〕
王昉
The Summary Discovery and Application of OriginDestination Data in Economic History
Zhe Wang
济史中源汇数开掘综述应
王哲
Government Debt and Financial Development of Modern China〔in Chinese〕
Hongzhogn Yan
代中国政府债务金融开展〔中文〕
燕红忠
Historical Status of Chinese Traditional Economic Thought and Its Modern Significance〔in Chinese〕
Lin Cheng
中国传统济思想历史位现代意义(中文)
程霖
The Two Globalization〔in Chinese〕
LI ZHANG
两次世界济全球化〔中文〕
张丽
Where Does Small Scale Peasant Economy to Go Study on the Cities and Towns in Hebei Province〔in Chinese〕
Wei Zhang
农济处？基河北省市镇研究〔中文〕
张玮
——————————————————————————————————
Session 8 Globalization and the Political Economics
分组讨8：全球化政治济学
Session Chair Chaoming Wang
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D210
Different Manifestations of Globalization in Russia and China After the World Economic Crisis〔in Chinese〕
Zizhong Li
世界济危机时代全球化俄罗斯中国表现〔中文〕
李子重
A Review of Globalization and Marxism〔in Chinese〕
Yan Zhang
全球化马克思义研究综述〔中文〕
张艳
Openness Market vs Regulatory Policy National Develop and Governance Transformation Under Globalization Impact of International Economy〔in Chinese〕
Hengchung Hsiao
开放市场VS制政策：国际济全球化危机国家开展治理转型〔中文〕
萧衡钟
The Price Fluctuations and Its Influences on the Population of Lowincome and the Poverty under the Background of Globalization——Based on the Empirical Data of China〔in Chinese〕
Chaoming Wang Wenlong Han
金融危机背景价格波动低收入贫困口影响——基中国数验研究〔中文〕
王明 韩文龙
China’s Lowcarbon Economic Development under Energy and Environment Constraint〔in Chinese〕
Genjin Sun Biao Li
源环境约束中国低碳济开展〔中文〕
孙根紧 李标
Globalization and the World Economic Cycle〔in Chinese〕
Chongyi Liu
全球化进程世界济周期〔中文〕
刘崇仪
——————————————————————————————————
Session 9 SWUFE Graduate Students’ Session
分组讨9：西南财学研究生专场
Session Chair Shi Chen Xiaoling Chen
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 1400—1730 〔with Coffee Break 1540—1600〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D211
Trusting Others Makes Own Happiness China’s Microdata Analysis Based on WVS (in Chinese)
Bo Xia
信幸福：基WVS中国微观数〔中文〕
夏波
Analysis of Delaying Migrant Workers＇ Wages in the Construction Area A Game Theory Perspective (in Chinese)
Yu’e Tang
建筑行业拖欠农民工工资行分析 —基微观济学博弈视角〔中文〕
唐玉娥
The Factors of Affecting Women Taking Care of the Preschool Children at Home (in Chinese)
Wang Xiang
女性家护学龄前童素分析〔中文〕
The Elderly Support Issues in Emptynest Families in China (in Chinese)
Xueying Feng
空巢〞趋势中国家庭养老模式研究〔中文〕
冯雪莹
The Synthesized Evaluation of the Index System for Assessing Social Harmony in Sichuan 20052021 (in Chinese)
Wenhua Li
四川省谐社会指标体系综合评价研究——基四川省20052021数实证研究〔中文〕
李文华
An Institutional Analysis of the Regional Distribution Imbalance of the FDI in China A Panel Analysis of 19992021
Yong Yang
制度环境角度解析国外商直接投资区域分布失衡——基1999—2021年面板数实证分析
羊勇
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Session 10 Globalization and International Trade
分组讨10：全球化国际贸易
Session Chair Devezas Tessaleno Aleshkovskiy Ivan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D201
Prospect of Iran Natural Gas Export Projects
Hedayat Omidvar
伊朗天然气出口工程前景
Hedayat Omidvar
ITC Antidumping Case Rulings Is China being Unfairly Targeted
Jack W Hou Xiaosong Wang
贸易中心反倾销案裁决：中国否公目标？
Jack W Hou Xiaosong Wang
The Impact of FDI Retained Profit on China＇s Economic Growth Empirical data with time series 19852007 in China
Li Xiong and Ke Xu
FDI留存利润中国济增长影响：中国19852007时间序列实证数研究
Li Xiong and Ke Xu
The Evolution of Globalization TPP and Implications for China
Shumei CHEN
全球化演变TPP中国影响
陈淑梅
Can the Development of LowCarbon Economy promote Employment An empirical study on the 19982021 provincial panel data
Yu Li
低碳济开展促进业？19982021省级面板数实证研究
Yu Li
——————————————————————————————————
Session 11 Globalization and the Transboundary Factor Markets
分组讨11：全球化跨国素市场
Session Chair Tony Fang
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D202
FDI Spillovers and the Time since Foreign Entry
Bruno Merlevede Koen Schoors Mariana Spatareanu
外资进入外国直接投资溢出效应
Bruno Merlevede Koen Schoors Mariana Spatareanu
Human Capital Investment Endowment and Social Mobility in China 19892021
Xuechao Qian
中国力资投资劳动资源禀赋社会流动 19892021
Xuechao Qian
Aging and Migration in a Transition Economy the Case of China
Örn B Bodvarsson Jack W Hou
转型济中老龄化迁移：中国案例
Örn B Bodvarsson Jack W Hou
Why Apple Products are Made in China The Great Transformation of the Global Labor Market and the Human Resource Implications
Tony Fang
什苹果产品中国制造？全球劳动力市场转型力资源方面影响
Tony Fang
Trade Openness Labor Demand Elasticity and Firm Heterogeneity An Empirical Study on China’s Micro Firms
Juan Li
贸易开放劳动需求弹性公司异质性：中国微型企业实证研究
李娟
——————————————————————————————————
Session 12 Economic Development and Environmental Protection
分组讨12：济增长环境保护
Session Chair Thompson William R
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D203
Willingness to Pay for Personal Carbon Trading〔in Chinese〕
Kui Zhou
居民参碳交易支付意愿影响素研究〔中文〕
周葵
Foreign Direct Investment and Environmental Pollution
Jiangying Sun
外国直接投资环境污染
Jiangying Sun
An Empirical Analysis of Environmental Cost in China’s Rapid Economic Growth
Hongfei Li
中国济快速增长环境钱实证分析
Hongfei Li
Air Quality and the Economic Growth Evidence from China
Lu Liu Kefei Li
空气质量济增长：中国证
Lu Liu Kefei Li
Environmental Quality and the Economic Growth
Qian Xiong
环境质量济增长
熊倩
——————————————————————————————————
Session 13 Economic and Financial crises (II)
分组讨13：济金融危机 (II)
Session Chair Ali M Kutan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D204
Russian Rouble EurAsEs and OCA criteria
Viktor Grechyn
俄罗斯卢布关税盟优货币区标准
Viktor Grechyn
Employment Capital Stock and Capacity Utilization in a Recovery
Jie Chen
业资存量恢复中产利率
Jie Chen
Projecting of Steady Complexity Economic Systems on Selforganizing Principles as a Component of Anticrisis Strategy
YegorovaGudkova Tatyana
组织原稳定复杂济系统工程作反济危机策略组成局部
YegorovaGudkova Tatyana
Crisis Transfer in the Global Economic Environment
Suchorukov Arkady
全球济环境济危机转移
Suchorukov Arkady
International Monetary Fund Private Financial Markets and the Asian Crisis
Ali M Kutan
国际货币基金组织私金融市场亚洲金融危机
Ali M Kutan
——————————————————————————————————
Session 14 Globalization Education and Culture
分组讨14：全球化教育文化
Session Chair Grinin Leonid
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D207
Recovering from Kondratieff Winter Science and Higher Education Policies as a Leading Factor of Success
Anna Bukhtoyarova and Mikhail Bukhtoyarov
孔德拉季耶夫冬天复苏：科学更高教育政策作成功素
Anna Bukhtoyarova and Mikhail Bukhtoyarov
Global Educational Opportunities in the Emerging Information Society
Mikhail Bukhtoyarov and Anna Bukhtoyarova
新兴信息社会中全球教育时机
Mikhail Bukhtoyarov and Anna Bukhtoyarova
Linguistic Identity and Globalisation
Kornienko Olga
语言标识全球化
Kornienko Olga
The New Order in International Culture〔in Chinese〕
Yan Zhang
国际文化新秩序〔中文〕
张艳
An Empirical Analysis on the Influence of the Political Capital on Households’ Income
Long Yang
政治资家庭收入影响实证分析
羊龙
——————————————————————————————————
Session 15 Trends and Economic cycles (II)
分组讨15：济周期趋势 (II)
Session Chair Wuyang Hu
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D208
Explaining Business Cycles News Versus Data Revisions
Paul Levine Joseph Pearlman Bo Yang
商业周期解释：新闻数修正
Paul Levine Joseph Pearlman Bo Yang
Economic Cycles and Market Anomalies in Pork Prices Considering Roles of Chinese Consumer Preference
Wuyang Hu
考虑中国消费者偏作猪肉价格济周期市场异常
胡武阳
A MultiMarket Approach to Measuring the Cycles
Xing (Grace) Gao
基市场方法周期测量
Xing (Grace) Gao
The Main Trends of the Global Dynamics and the Future of World Development
Bondarenko Valentina
全球化动态趋势世界开展未
Bondarenko Valentina
State Capitalism and Globalization – a Challenge to Whom
Henrique Schneider
国家资义全球化 ——谁挑战？
Henrique Schneider
Convergence of National Interests in International Alliances the Methodology of Analysis (for example the BRICS SCO and the Eurasian Union)
Kefeli Igor
国际联盟中国家利益趋分析方法〔金砖海合作组织欧亚联盟例〕
Kefeli Igor
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Session 16 Major Trends of Financial Development
分组讨16：金融开展趋势
Session Chair Zimin Sergey
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D209
Contagion in CDS Banking and Equity Markets
Benjamin Tabak Mauricio Medeiros Junior Rodrigo de Castro Miranda
CDS蔓延银行股票市场
Benjamin Tabak Mauricio Medeiros Junior Rodrigo de Castro Miranda
The Excess Reserve Surge and the Lending Slowdown at US Banks
Douglas Downing
美国银行超额储藏激增放贷放缓
Douglas Downing
Microfinance in Rural Chinese Financial Markets Challenges and Innovations
Geri Mason
额信贷中国农村金融市场：挑战创新
Geri Mason
Monetary Policy International Reserve Management and Currency CrisesThe Case of Asian Emerging Economies
Unurjargal Nyambuu
货币政策国际储藏理货币危机：亚洲新兴济体情况
Unurjargal Nyambuu
Research on China and US Economic imbalances from the Financial Perspective
Aiping Yao
基金融视角中美济失衡研究
姚爱萍
The Impact of the Financial Constraint on the TFP of the Chinese Firms a Semi Parametric Analysis Based on LP (in Chinese)
Yongyuan Sun
金融约束中国企业TFP影响分析——基lp半参数分析 (中文)
孙永苑
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Session 17 China’ the International Trade
分组讨17：中国国际贸易
Session Chair Yi Quan
Discussants All presenters in this session
Time 900—1200 〔with Coffee Break 1030—1050〕
Place Tongbo Building Room D210
The Trend of International Economic Environment Evolution and the Adjustment of China’s Foreign Trade Strategy (in Chinese)
Yi Quan
国际济环境演变趋势国外贸战略调整〔中文〕
全毅
The Effect of Trade Agreements on China’ Export Growth and Binary Margin (in Chinese)
Juan Wen Jianxiu Li
贸易协定国出口增长二元边际效应〔中文〕
文娟李建修
Double Game and Behavior Analysis of China US Trade Friction (in Chinese)
Li Minggang
中美贸易摩擦双层博弈体行分析〔中文〕
李明刚
A Study of China’s Participation in FTAs in the Process of Globalization (in Chinese)
Yuhua Song Haiyan Zhang
全球化进程中中国参FTA研究〔中文〕
宋玉华 张海燕
The reconstruction of historical materialism and Innovation of Globalization Research Paradigm (in Chinese)
Yuan Han
唯物史观重建全球化研究范式创新〔中文〕
韩源
An Empirical Study on the Financial Development and Upgrading of Industrial Structure in the Chengdu Region (in Chinese)
Long Zhou
成区金融开展产业结构升级实证研究〔中文〕
周龙
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工作室 workroom
通博楼 D206
Place Tongbo Building Room D206
会务指南
Conference Guide
会务 Meeting Affairs
〔1〕温江鱼凫温泉酒店 Yufu Hotspring Hotel
驻会工作员 Contact ：
〔2〕温江金强华亨酒店 Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel Wenjiang
会务组房间：22032205
Meeting Affairs Group Room：22032205
驻会工作员 Contact ：
余修婷Xiuting Yu
二 餐(Dining)
会议期间餐时间点安排：
During the conference the dining time and places are as follows
日期
餐时间(Time)
点(Places)
10月13日
Oct 13
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
1230—1330
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
晚宴Dinner
1800—1900
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
10月14日
Oct 14
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
1215—1315
柳园食府
Liuyuan Restaurant
晚宴Dinner
1830—2000
蜀九香火锅
Shujiuxiang hot pot
10月15日
Oct 15
早餐Breakfast
0730—0830
酒店早餐券餐
By the hotel breakfast vouchers
午餐Lunch
定undecided
点定
undecided
晚餐Dinner
1730
龙抄手
Long chaoshou
三 参观活动(Visit)
110月14日1700—1745会务组组织会代表参观西南财学校史馆
At 1700—1745 Oct 14 the meeting affairs group will take delegates to visit the History Museum of SWUFE
210月15日会务组组织家进行参观考察考察线路江堰——映秀〔者熊猫基——宽窄巷子〕请意愿代表会议注册报天登记10月15日早晨830金强华亨酒店门口集合统前
On Oct 15th delegates can have a short tour from Dujiangyan to Yingxiu or from the Panda Base to Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley Anyone who are willing to go please inform us on the registration date and gather together in front of Huaheng Hotel at 830am on Oct 15
五医疗效劳(Medical Service)
学校安排会务工作员酒店驻会身体感适需帮助请直接会务组联系
We have staff organized to stay at the hotel during the conference so if you feel ill or need some help please contact us directly
六返程(Return)
请预定返程机票参会员会务组联系取票没预定返程票员请行安排需帮助请联系会务组
Participants with a return airticket please contact our staff to obtain it Participants without a return ticket please make arrangements yourselves If you need any help please contact the meeting affairs group
七温馨提示(Tips)
1请会议日程安排准时参加项活动会代表出席会议请时告知会务组联络员便会议时调整相关容
Please attend all the activities on time according to the conference agenda If you are unable to present please have the business group and coordinators informed so that we can make some adjustments timely
2会场请 铃声调静音状态请勿吸烟
Please set your mobile phone to mute and do not smoke in the conference room
3会议期间请妥善保您物品防遗失
During the conference please take good care of your personal stuff in case they are missing
4入住酒店wifi说明
温江金强华亨酒店Wifi密码12345678
Password of WIFI in Jinqiang Huaheng Hotel 12345678
5酒店退房时间中午1200前
Please pay attention that the hotel checkout time is 1200am
6时值秋季成天气变请会代表注意天气状况谨防感
It is autumn now in Chengdu and the weather is changeable Please pay attention to the weather conditions to stay away from influenza
7会议结束意赴方旅游者请联系旅行社请会务组员协助
After the conference delegates who are willing to travel to other places please contact the local travel agency by yourselves or contact Meeting Affairs Groups staff
祝您会议期间工作利心情愉快身体健康
Wish you a smooth work a happy mood and good health
图：机场西南财学光华校区柳林校区区位图
Map3From Airport to Liulin Campus and Guanghua Campus of SWUFE
图二：西南财学柳林校区图
Map2 Liulin Campus of SWUFE
图三：华亨酒店西南财学柳林校区区位图
Map3From Huaheng Hotel to Liulin Campus of SWUFE
参观考察选择线路：成市旅游
行程安排Itinerary：
首先熊猫基参观熊猫然宽窄巷子感受老成文化品尝传统四川美食龙抄手
Firstly go to the Chengdu Panda Breeding Research Base to visit the giant anda and then visit the Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley to feel the traditional culture of Chengdu After that to taste the traditional Sichuan food Long Chao Shou
景点介绍 A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction：
熊猫基Chengdu Panda Breeding Research Base
着神秘隐居生活〞熊猫家园高山密林中祖居生态环境日渐恶化成熊猫繁育研究基便辟伊甸园〞成熊猫繁育基位处成市北郊斧头山造园手法模拟熊猫野外生态环境营建适宜熊猫种珍稀野生动物生息繁衍生态环境目前成熊猫繁育基已成国开展熊猫等珍稀濒危野生动物移保护基里生活着庞熊猫家族长幼咸集乐融融享笋竹鲜果卧酣睡追逐嬉闹攀岩爬树母子相外该基饲养黑颈鹤白鹳白天鹅黑天鹅雁鸳鸯孔雀等动物68科300种高等植物构成基工生态植栖息着野生鸟类29科90种现基翠竹葱茏绿树成荫鸟语花香空气清新然山野风光优美工景观巧妙融合种珍稀濒危动物中悠然生息繁衍
The giant panda a symbol of world biodiversity conservation is loved by many people around the world It is easily recognized by its large distinctive black patches around the eyes over the ears and across its round body
Chengdu Research Base of Giant Panda Breeding is the significant domestic base in China for the protection of rare and endangered wild animalsIt has been created to imitate the panda’s natural habitat for providing the best possible environment for breeding and rearing young pandas
The Research Base covers an area of 92 acres 96 of which is verdure Rare and endangered animals here include Giant Panda Lesser Panda the Blacknecked Crane the White Stock the White Swan the Black Swan the Wild Goose and Peacock Verdant bamboo bright flowers fresh air a natural hill scene and a beautiful artificial view are merged ingeniously at the baseIt is the most ideal ecological tourism place for visitors all around world to get to know the appearance of giant pandas and to get around the wild nature
宽窄巷子Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley
成宽窄巷子位成仁路长中街间宽巷子窄巷子成遗留较成规模清古街道宽巷子窄巷子始建康熙五十七年〔公元 1718 年〕街〔宽巷子〕居住满族文武官员胡〔窄巷子〕住满族士兵等级森严汉严禁入两巷行相邻清遗留保存较完整古街道宽窄巷子宽巷子窄巷子井巷子三条行排列老式街道四合院落群组成老成千年少城〞城市格局百年原真建筑格局遗存北方胡文化建筑风格南方孤〞宽窄巷子您触摸历史痕迹体味成原滋原味休闲生活方式走进宽窄巷子走进成世界古老时尚老成名片
Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is located between lower Tongren Road and Cheung Shun Street It is a legacy left on a large scale from Qing Dynasty Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley was built in Kangxi 57 years (1718AD) Manchu civil and military officials lived in the street (Kuan Alley) Manchu soldiers lived in the small hutong (Zhai Alley) It is very hierarchical and the Hans were prohibited from entering The two lanes are parallel adjacent Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley consist of three parallel streets which are Kuan Alley Zhai Alley and Jing Alley and courtyards Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is the last legacy of Hutong culture in the south where you can feel the traces of history you can enjoy the original flavor of the casual lifestyle in Chengdu Kuan Alley and Zhai Alley is the most Chengdu the most world the most ancient and fashionable business card of old Chengdu
参观考察选择线路二成周边游
行程安排Itinerary ：江堰观摩千年水利工程亲灾区映秀感受然灾害造成灾难参观灾灾区新面貌
景点介绍A Brief Introduction to a Tourist Attraction ：
江堰Dujiangyan Irrigation System
江堰位四川省成市江堰市灌口镇秦国蜀郡太守李冰子治理岷江水患率众修建型水利工程建堰两千年久衰发挥着代作工程采坝引水〞形式鱼嘴〔分水堤〕飞沙堰〔溢洪道〕宝瓶口〔引水口〕三体工程构成三工程巧妙利天然势弯道水流规律协调运行效解决引水灌溉泄洪排沙问题孕育沃野千里号陆海天府国〞成原江堰水利工程誉世界水利文化鼻祖〞 全世界迄止年代久唯留存坝引水特征宏水利工程外江堰著名风景名胜区附景色秀丽文物古迹众伏龙观二王庙安澜索桥玉垒关离堆公园玉垒山公园玉女峰灵岩寺普寺翠月湖等工程
Dujiangyan Irrigation System is located in the west of Dujiangyan City in Sichuan Province So far it is the only inuse grand water irrigation project built in the earliest age in human history The system is characterized by water diversion without dam In ancient times the area where the irrigation system is was under the jurisdictions of Du＇an County Therefore it was named Du＇an Irrigation System and later changed to Dujiangyan Irrigation System after the Song and Yuan Dynasties The project is hailed as a marvelous wonder of all time and treasure protecting Sichuan The building of the largescale irrigation system started in the 3rd century AD under the command of local official Li Bing and his son Even today the irrigation system still serves the purpose it was designed for and functions well
This project is mainly composed of three parts Yuzui Watershed Dike Feishayan Spillway and Baopingkou Water Inlet scientifically providing solutions to automatic water diversion sand discharging and water inlet volume control etc thus keeping floods at bay and making western Sichuan plain a kingdom of heaven where human put floods under control Gorgeous scenery abounds in the surrounding areas of Dujiangyan Irrigation System and cultural relics can easily be found The main attractions include Dragon Subduing Temple Erwang Temple Alan Bridge Yulei Pass Lidui Park Yulei Mountain Park and Lingyan Temple etc
映秀Yingxiu
映秀镇处四川汶川县城南部卧龙然保护区相邻距成88公里进出九寨沟卧龙四姑娘山必重交通道藏羌回汉民族文化交汇点素西羌门户〞称映秀镇青山绿水名气映秀镇真正熟知举世瞩目5·12〞汶川特震震震源点震导致映秀山河破碎满目疮痍镇中心区夷新映秀镇原址重建许国外著名建筑师参映秀镇灾重建设计工作建筑风格川西羌寨风格现映秀镇震遗址特色羌文化风格水载体爱题世界独二风情旅游镇
Yingxiu is a town of southern Wenchuan County northwestern Sichuan province It is located at the southern end of the Ngawa Tibetan and Qiang Autonomous Prefecture and lies on the road to Jiuzhaigou Valley Wolong world natural heritage reserve and the Siguniang Mountains It is the cultural intersection of Han Hui Qiang and Tibetan and called the entrance to the Western Qiang Yingxiu was famous for its green mountains and clean water but what made it a worldknown place is the May 12th earthquake As the focal point of the earthquake Yingxiu was razed to the ground instantly causing serious damages The new Yingxiu was rebuilt in situ A lot of domestic and foreign master architects participated in the design of reconstruction which mainly is of western Sichuan and Qiang style Now the new Yingxiu is a unique tourist town worldwide which is featured by the earthquake site styled by the Qiang culture carried by
the clear water and themed by the great love
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